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COVID-19 in King County WA – June 23 Report

Jun 24, 2020

Update from Public Health – Seattle & King County

Public Health has updated the data dashboard. The daily summary shows that there were 9,369 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in King County as of 11:59 on June 22, 96 more than the previous day. There have been 584 confirmed deaths in King County due to COVID-19, 6.2% of all confirmed cases.

The numbers that Public Health reports each day include delayed results from previous days.

Observations

The first graph below shows new cases (blue bars) and the 7-day average (red line).  Of the 96 new cases reported today, 26 were confirmed yesterday and the remaining 70 were confirmed in previous days. The 7-day average of new cases per day peaked at 195 on April 1. The average for the last 7 days is now 58 new cases per day, up from 41 a week ago. The 7-day average has increased 42% in the last week and 47% in the last two weeks.

The key indicators that the State and County are using to make decisions about reopening include a measure of the total number of cases reported in the previous 14 days per 100K residents. The target for this metric is less than 25.  The second and third graphs below show this metric. The second graph goes back to March 12, the fourteenth day of reported cases. The third graph provides a more detailed view of results in the last few weeks.  31.3 cases were reported per 100K residents during the 14-day period June 9 – June 22.

Unless this trend reverses quickly or the State and County decide that it is no longer essential for this key indicator to be below 25, I do not see how King County can move to Phase 3 on July 10, three weeks after moving to Phase 2 on June 19.

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