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COVID-19 in King County WA – June 5 Report

Jun 5, 2020

I have adjusted the format of this report to include a new metric, cases per 100K residents.
My next report will be on Monday, June 8.

Update from Public Health – Seattle & King County

Public Health has updated the data dashboard. The daily summary shows that there were 8,396 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in King County as of 11:50 on June 4, 63 more than the previous day. There have been 566 confirmed deaths in King County due to COVID-19, 6.7% of all confirmed cases.

The numbers that Public Health reports each day include delayed results from previous days.

Observations

The first graph above shows new cases (blue bars) and the 7-day average (red line). Of the 63 new cases reported today, 52 were confirmed yesterday and the remaining 11 were confirmed in previous days. The 7-day average of new cases per day peaked at 194 on April 1. The average for the last 7 days is now 45 new cases per day, up from 32 six days ago. The 7-day average has increased 23% in the last week and declined 3% in the last two weeks.

The key indicators that the State and County are using to make decisions about reopening include a measure of the total number of cases reported in the previous 14 days per 100K residents. The target for this metric is less than 25.

The second and third graphs below show the total number of cases reported in the previous 14 days per 100K residents. The second graph goes back to March 12, the fourteenth day of reported cases. The third graph zooms in with results since May 22. We can see on the third graph that the metric was 24 on Friday, May 29. King County included data as of May 29 in the application submitted to the Governor’s Office requesting approval to move to Phase 1.5. That application was successful and King County moved to Phase 1.5 today. The metric has since increased to 26, higher than the target.

The daily report from Public Health no longer includes daily data for cumulative case totals. This is because some tests are missing dates, as noted at the bottom of the graph on the daily summary. I am retiring the graphs that show cumulative case totals and overall trajectory. I cannot ensure that those graphs are accurate without daily data for cumulative case totals.

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Thank you for being curious.
-Will

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